A great change...beautiful summer weather today..more heat late this week but nothing like last week

Yes after this break from the hot summer of 2011..heat should return later this week into the weekend..but nothing like we just experienced..low 90's to wrap up the month of July..4 day euro for Saturday morning..notice the red in the 850 temps

                                                                   

next week looks like more very warm and humid weather...8 day Euro as midwest bakes again

                                                                            

Hot and humid weekend..low 90's Sunday..front to bring down temps for 4th

It will be you typical 4th of July weekend..sunshine with increasing humidity..Euro and GFS now agree on a hot Saturday and especially Sunday..here are 850 temps on Euro on Sunday evening

                                                                               
Will there be any rain..could be some scattered showers on Sunday afternoon as front approaches
GFS 90hr

                                                                                      

4th will be very warm but less humid with passage of weak front..July 4th Euro

                                        
later next week looks to be very warm dry and seasonable..168 Euro

                                                                  

After some showers Tuesday night..warm week followed by heat for the weekend?..how long though?

Everybody has the holiday weekend on their minds..we all would like typical 4th weather..sunny and hot..well this morning Euro agrees..the weekend will be Sunny hoy and humid..with 90's..Sunday 0z 850 temps
                                                                       
                                                                    

and continues into the 4th


However GFS this morning totally different..I mean totally..big Upper low in eastern Canada

                                                            
                                                                            
However GFS does heat things up Saturday into part of Sunday..but it is very brief


With the Euro model it becomes an old fashioned heatwave..hot thru day 10!

                                                                                  

Major Heat ridge to develop in the Plains early next week..doesn't make it east as a cold front comes thru by midweek..ridge moves east on July 4th weekend..hot and humid,but right now it looks brief

After a nice weekend with some sun and seasonable temps..the Plains will be sizzlin next week with temps over the century mark in many spots..for us..looks like a weakness will move over the ridge as a cold front and stop the heat from advancing with showers and storms..shown here in the 500 heights GFS map 114 hr

                                                                         

Then the heat makes a comeback..and some of it spreads east for the July 4th weekend..Saturday and Sunday look hot and humid temps in the 90's..here's Euro 850 temps for Sunday morning

                                                                            
Front comes thru on the 4th and the 90's are bye bye...right now heatwave seems brief

                                                                         

Weekend looks nice dry and seasonable,,MAJOR HEAT RIDGE DEVELOPS IN PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK..does it reach us?

After some thunderstorms late today, some which may be severe,cold front comes thru..beautiful summer weekend with sunshine low humidity and temps in the 80's both days..now for next week..torrid heat will develop in the plains and move to the midwest by the middle of next week..over 100 degrees temps for this area..ok where does it go?..it will stay there for a while..GFS does push a cold front thru on Tuesday night..with showers and storms  120 hr surface

                                                          
Hot weather finally makes it here..not the brunt..but temps in the 90's with increasing humidity for the 4th of July weekend as shown here in the 8 day Euro

                                                                                      

by next Monday another front could approach to keep the brutal heat away 10 day euro 850 temps


                                                                       

GFS by July 4th want to develop a ring of fire over the central states..with us on the eastern boundry
 
                                                                                   

SLOW cold front inches it's way across the country..warm and humid flow..weekend looks nice..possible heatwave for the 4th of July?

At this time of year sometimes a cold front could take a week to travel 500 miles..and that's sort of what we are dealing with this week..On the warm side of the front, it's gonna be warm,humid and tropical with showers and thunderstorms that could pop up any time..some even severe..most likely time would be late afternoon or early evening..expect sunhine too..FINALLY front comes thru late Friday as 72 hr GFS shows

                                                                           

Weekend for now looks dry and seasonable..there could be a hit or miss shower..96 hr GFS

                                                                                          

And now the big question as we head into July..one thing is certain...BIG HEAT RIDGE will develop in the plains and midwest..temps nearing or getting over 100..the heat will expand..will it get this far..well the 10 day Euro says it's getting close  850 temps..check out the heat in the midwest!

                                                                                               

GFS ensembles for the 4th say yea..the heat could make it by the 4th into the east..however a few members are now saying hold off!

                                                                           

Summer comes in warm and humid..SLOW moving cold front approaches all week with showers and boomers..next weekend looks dry..conflicting signals for eary July

 Summer rolls in tomorrow in typical summer fashion with very warm and humid weather..showers and thunderstorms will be around late in the day..as a matter of fact,get used to it for the rest of the week..Slow moving cold front will produce showers at any time,however there will also be sunny periods as well..by Friday night front finally rolls thru with showers and Thunderstorms as shown in 128 hour GFS for Friday night

                                                                     
next weekend looks dry most of the time with cooler than normal temps..day 10 Euro has below normal temps for the last day in June,here's the 850 temps

                                                                                    
Some model disagreement for early July..as GFS ensembles show a warm pattern by July 4th

                                                            

                                                                   

Strong midwest low..for this time of year..with slow moving cold front will pop showers and storms this week..clearing out for next weekend..still on the hunt for July heat

Ya know for late June the GFS spins up a pretty impressive midwest low for this week..we'll be on the warm side..so expect showers and thunderstorms at times..with very warm(not hot) and humid weather
84 hr GFS

                                                                                       

Saturday the front finally comes thru..warm and humid with showers  156 hour GFS

                                                                 

10 day Euro again shows no big heatwaves..with upper air low over Hudson Bay

                                                                            

However GFS ensembles are still showing possible heat the first week in July..15 day, July 4th

                                                                              

    tropics quiet zzzzzzzzzzzzzz..he will wake up before you know it..be ready!

                                                           

Looks like dry Father's day..midweek warm humid then showers and storms Thurs..dry and seasonable next weekend..and maybe some heat returning for July?

looks like we squeeze out a nice Father's day as precip falls to our south 12z NAM 54hr



Warm and humid midweek as cold front nears from the west  108 hr GFS 500 heights

                                                             

Front pushes thru with Showers and Boomers on Thursday..after that dry and seasonable,maybe slightly below normal for next weekend

                                                                                      

looking long range into the first week in July..GFS ensembles are showing some hot fun in the summertime..day 16 shows normal to above normal temps

                                                                         

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HEADED TO NASSAU COUNTY

Could produce wind,heavy rain,thunder and lightning..Upton radar

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

updates to follow

Weekend..well it looked better yesterday..Father's day could be wet..midweek warm and humid..cool next weekend..no heatwaves in sight

Well I thought we be able to squeeze in a decent Father's day..but latest maps show that showers will be around.it won't rain all the time on Sunday, you might get to see some sun at times..but it does look wet especially south of Long Island 60r surface NAM
  
                                                                  
Monday is nice..turns warm and humid Tues and Weds as cold front nears..no 90's though 156 hr GFS..showers and thunderstorms late Weds and Thurs

                                                                                

Long range..Euro 10 day and GFS have cool weather for next weekend..70's in late June is nice..9 day Euro


                                                                                        

Showers tomorrow..nice Father's day weekend..Warm and Humid next week..no heatwaves in sight

Clouds rolling in from the west today as distubance in the lakes will give us showers and Thunderstorms tomorrow..clearing out just in time for the weekend Sun and clouds..very low risk of a shower over the weekend..next week?..any heat?..well no heatwave, but it will be warm and humid temps could get into the upper 80's as shown here..on 138 GFS 850 temps

                                                                           

Cold front comes thru with showers next Thursday,shown here on 174 hr GFS surface


                                                                                               

   Long Range..any big time heat as we head into July?..10 day Euro says warm,seasonable yes..but no big heatwave

                                                                                    

tropics very quiet..but it's June..will be watching

Couple of awesome June days..Showers on Friday..dry and warm weekend

Have to be loving today and tomorrow..just perfect June weather..end of the week looks unsettled as the east coast trough reinforces itself...54 hr GFS
     
                                                       

Warm(not hot) and humid weather return the middle of next week..132 GFS 500 heights

                                                              

Long range day 10-16..could get warm and humid, but no real heatwaves 10 day GFS

                                                                           

Nice tomorrow and Thursday then cool and damp end of the week..Heat could return middle of next week

After some horrible June days I think you'll like tomorrow and Thursday..Sunny and seasonable..however Friday showers are likely as the trough over the east remains..GFS 84 hr



weekend looks fine..fathers day looks nice dry and in the 70's 138 hr GFS



And it looks like as summer arrives on Monday..it's gonna feel like it by the middle of next week if the 192 Euro is correct

                                                                   

Cool and damp the next few days..Fathers day weekend looks great!..then heat may return next week!

Today and tomorrow..cool damp June weather as trough hangs in the Northeast..there will be occasional showers,along with some peaks of sun at times..heres the 48 hour 500 height map from the GFS this morning..

                                                     

Right now next weekend looks dry and seasonable..temps in the 70's..144 hr GFS

                                                                     

Well it's late June..so the heat might crank up again the middle of next week..Here's a hint of that in the Euro 10 day

                                                                     

Unsettled Sunday..summer is taking a break

Not the best June weekends..today will be cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms as a big trough in the east continues as shown on GFS for Sunday
                                                                     
                                                         

midweek Sunny and nice,,nomal temps 70's to 80...Weds night GFS

                                                                          
        
By next weekend no signs of any heat..as we head for the summer solitice next Monday..next Sunday Fathers Day...temps in the 70's ..7 day Euro