Monday, June 20, 2011

Summer comes in warm and humid..SLOW moving cold front approaches all week with showers and boomers..next weekend looks dry..conflicting signals for eary July

 Summer rolls in tomorrow in typical summer fashion with very warm and humid weather..showers and thunderstorms will be around late in the day..as a matter of fact,get used to it for the rest of the week..Slow moving cold front will produce showers at any time,however there will also be sunny periods as well..by Friday night front finally rolls thru with showers and Thunderstorms as shown in 128 hour GFS for Friday night

                                                                      image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb
next weekend looks dry most of the time with cooler than normal temps..day 10 Euro has below normal temps for the last day in June,here's the 850 temps

                                                                                    
Some model disagreement for early July..as GFS ensembles show a warm pattern by July 4th

                                                            

                                                                   

Sunday, June 19, 2011

Strong midwest low..for this time of year..with slow moving cold front will pop showers and storms this week..clearing out for next weekend..still on the hunt for July heat

Ya know for late June the GFS spins up a pretty impressive midwest low for this week..we'll be on the warm side..so expect showers and thunderstorms at times..with very warm(not hot) and humid weather
84 hr GFS

                                                                                        image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb

Saturday the front finally comes thru..warm and humid with showers  156 hour GFS

                                                                  image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb

10 day Euro again shows no big heatwaves..with upper air low over Hudson Bay

                                                                            

However GFS ensembles are still showing possible heat the first week in July..15 day, July 4th

                                                                              

    tropics quiet zzzzzzzzzzzzzz..he will wake up before you know it..be ready!

                                                            Posted Image

Saturday, June 18, 2011

Looks like dry Father's day..midweek warm humid then showers and storms Thurs..dry and seasonable next weekend..and maybe some heat returning for July?

looks like we squeeze out a nice Father's day as precip falls to our south 12z NAM 54hr

image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb

Warm and humid midweek as cold front nears from the west  108 hr GFS 500 heights

                                                              image of 500mb Vort, Ht

Front pushes thru with Showers and Boomers on Thursday..after that dry and seasonable,maybe slightly below normal for next weekend

                                                                                       image of 500mb Vort, Ht

looking long range into the first week in July..GFS ensembles are showing some hot fun in the summertime..day 16 shows normal to above normal temps

                                                                         

Friday, June 17, 2011

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HEADED TO NASSAU COUNTY

Could produce wind,heavy rain,thunder and lightning..Upton radar

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

updates to follow

Weekend..well it looked better yesterday..Father's day could be wet..midweek warm and humid..cool next weekend..no heatwaves in sight

Well I thought we be able to squeeze in a decent Father's day..but latest maps show that showers will be around.it won't rain all the time on Sunday, you might get to see some sun at times..but it does look wet especially south of Long Island 60r surface NAM
  
                                                                   image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb
Monday is nice..turns warm and humid Tues and Weds as cold front nears..no 90's though 156 hr GFS..showers and thunderstorms late Weds and Thurs

                                                                                 image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb

Long range..Euro 10 day and GFS have cool weather for next weekend..70's in late June is nice..9 day Euro


                                                                                        

Thursday, June 16, 2011

Showers tomorrow..nice Father's day weekend..Warm and Humid next week..no heatwaves in sight

Clouds rolling in from the west today as distubance in the lakes will give us showers and Thunderstorms tomorrow..clearing out just in time for the weekend Sun and clouds..very low risk of a shower over the weekend..next week?..any heat?..well no heatwave, but it will be warm and humid temps could get into the upper 80's as shown here..on 138 GFS 850 temps

                                                                            image of 850mb Temp, Ht

Cold front comes thru with showers next Thursday,shown here on 174 hr GFS surface


                                                                                                image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb

   Long Range..any big time heat as we head into July?..10 day Euro says warm,seasonable yes..but no big heatwave

                                                                                    

tropics very quiet..but it's June..will be watching

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Couple of awesome June days..Showers on Friday..dry and warm weekend

Have to be loving today and tomorrow..just perfect June weather..end of the week looks unsettled as the east coast trough reinforces itself...54 hr GFS
     
                                                        image of MSLP 1000 - 500mb

Warm(not hot) and humid weather return the middle of next week..132 GFS 500 heights

                                                               image of 500mb Vort, Ht

Long range day 10-16..could get warm and humid, but no real heatwaves 10 day GFS

                                                                            image of 500mb Vort, Ht